ClearValue Team Insights
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Post-FOMC Market Update:
The markets believe that we are trending towards a soft landing, which is causing defensive positions to get punished and risk-on positions (like stocks and crypto to get rewarded). I personally don’t believe we are trending for a soft landing and I think there is a lot of market risk buying at these price levels. […]Read More
Altcoin Market Reaches Resistance
The Altcoin market has rallied to the upper range of this channel around $591 billion market cap. Historically Altcoins remain neutral in Sept and close the month slightly red. Based on this historical trend, Altcoins are likely reaching their monthly high here and could trend back down near the end of Sept. I think a […]Read More
Ethereum Remains Neutral Throughout Sept
Ethereum has traded sideways throughout the month of September between $2,100 and $2,500. The price is currently trading near the highs of this range, and I don’t expect to see any exciting price action until October. Historically Ethereum tends to be neutral and slightly bearish in Sept. Next week is also seasonally bearish for crypto […]Read More
Bitcoin Goes on a Post-FOMC Rally to $63K
Yesterday evening Bitcoin rallied to $62k, and today the price has climbed up higher to $63k. The markets have experienced a post-FOMC rally higher, and I have $60,700 as a key price level to monitor if there is a pullback. There are two trendlines, the red and yellow lines, that intersect there. Bitcoin has broken […]Read More
MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Gamble: Should You Follow Suit?
Bitcoin has long captivated the imagination of investors, and its potential for explosive growth has made it a topic of intense debate. One of the most eye-catching strategies in recent years comes from MicroStrategy, which made a bold decision to go all-in on Bitcoin. Since 2020, MicroStrategy has poured billions of dollars into Bitcoin, accumulating […]Read More
S&P Election Year Trends and Market Volatility
This chart compares the S&P 500’s performance during election years with the actual S&P 500 performance in 2024 (through September 13). It provides a visual comparison of how the current year aligns with historical election year trends, represented by multiple lines for different time periods. Key Observations: Analysis: Conclusion: The S&P 500 in 2024 has so far followed a similar […]Read More
How the S&P 500 Reacts to 0.25% vs. 0.50% Fed Rate Cuts
This chart compares S&P 500 performance 6 months before and 12 months after the first Fed rate cut for several years: 1995, 1998, 2001, 2007, and 2019. The chart distinguishes between rate cuts of 0.25% (red lines) and 0.50% (blue lines), providing insight into how the stock market reacted under different conditions. Here are the key observations and analysis: Key […]Read More
USD/JPY Trading Near Support Headed Into Sept. 20 BOJ Decision
Today the U.S. Federal Reserve will receive a lot of attention for their role in the global financial markets. There will be a ton of important information released today, but we also have another extremely important announcement from the Bank of Japan on Sept. 20. The Japanese yen is the only asset that is appreciating […]Read More
The Fed’s September 2024 Rate Cut: Key Takeaways
On September 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve made its first 50 basis point (bps) rate cut since 2020, signaling a shift in monetary policy. While the economy is described as “strong overall,” the Fed has justified the cut as a proactive measure to sustain growth and control inflation. Key Points from the Fed’s Decision Powell’s Statement on the […]Read More
QQQ Approaching $515 Resistance
QQQ experienced a 6%+ rally this week, and is approaching resistance around $315. This week’s rally was caused by the US election and Fed rate cut. I think the rally was driven by FOMO from news, especially since a lot of people were expecting volatility around the US election. For now I think QQQ is […]Read More
PFE Following My Range Prediction
In June I discussed how PFE is likely to trade within a range with a buy zone between $24 and $26.50. PFE is following this game plan, and I would continue buying between $24 and $26.50 until there’s a breakout. I don’t think healthcare stocks are too hot right now, I think investors are more […]Read More
GXO Attempting a Bullish Breakout
GXO has consistently beat earnings expectations since IPO launch. The price action has been pretty neutral with GXO trading within a range betow $62.95. However, GXO is starting to gain some bullish momentum over the past few weeks. I think GXO is attempting a bullish breakout above $62.95. If this breakout is successful GXO can […]Read More