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OCTOBER 23, 2024

ONGOING VOLATILITY

Cryptocurrency markets have experienced a downturn as major tokens like Dogecoin (DOGE) and XRP (XRP) saw losses following Bitcoin’s failure to sustain a rally to $70,000. Despite recent gains driven by an Elon Musk endorsement and fundamental developments, DOGE dropped by 5% and XRP fell by 4%. In addition, the broader market, as reflected by the CoinDesk 20 index, also saw a decline of nearly 2%, and while traders remain hopeful for a potential run to $80,000 in the coming weeks, smaller tokens like memecoin bonk (BONK) and governance token APE faced larger losses. Furthermore, Bitcoin ETFs experienced outflows of $80 million, with products like ARKB seeing record outflows while others like IBIT received inflows of $42 million. 

CONTROVERSIAL LAUNCH

The recent launch of the Scroll token, an Ethereum scaling solution, has stirred a mix of excitement and controversy in the cryptocurrency community. The distribution of 55 million SCR tokens, with a significant portion earmarked for users who amassed over 200 Scroll Marks, triggered concerns about fairness and sustainability in token allocation models. Notable figures like DYOR.eth expressed disappointment, leading to a wave of criticism within the crypto space. This incident sheds light on a growing issue of airdrop farming tactics, where users manipulate activity to maximize rewards, posing challenges in ensuring equitable token distribution to genuine community members. Moreover, the market response reflected the turmoil, as SCR’s value plummeted by 17% to $1.15 shortly after the token distribution.

FINANCIAL STRUGGLES

Boeing is facing a challenging period marked by significant financial losses and labor disputes as the company reported a net loss of $6.17 billion for the third quarter, bringing total losses for the year to nearly $8 billion. In addition, despite generating revenue of approximately $17.8 billion, Boeing’s operating cash flow remains negative at -$1.345 billion. To address these financial challenges, Boeing announced the cessation of production for its 767 tanker jet and the postponement of its 777X widebody jet release. Additionally, the company also disclosed plans to take $5 billion in pre-tax charges and secure $10 billion in supplemental credit from a group of banks. Moreover, in a bid to enhance its financial position, Boeing revealed intentions to lay off around 17,000 employees, representing 10% of its workforce. Furthermore, Boeing is embroiled in a labor dispute with the IAM union, with workers set to vote on a new contract proposal.

INVESTMENT BOOM

As the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) continues to experience a decline in its value, investors are seizing the opportunity to purchase shares of this $60 billion exchange-traded fund. The ETF price has dropped by almost 9% since its peak in 2024, coinciding with the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut. With the U.S. economy indicating growth and the prospect of fewer rate cuts by the Fed, long-term interest rates are on the rise and TLT’s price is falling. Nevertheless, despite this trend, it seems like investors are seeing this as a prime moment to invest in TLT as over the last week, a substantial $1.7 billion has been injected into the TLT fund, accumulating its inflows for the year to $11.5 billion.

SHIFTING SANDS

The current mortgage market is experiencing fluctuations in interest rates, with the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage standing at 7.15%, a noticeable increase from previous weeks. Similarly, 15-year fixed mortgage rates have also risen to 6.3%, while 30-year jumbo mortgage rates have reached 7.11%. These changes highlight the volatile nature of the housing market, with uncertainties influencing borrowing costs. For borrowers, this means an increase in monthly payments, with every $100,000 borrowed resulting in approximately $676 for a 30-year fixed rate, $860 for a 15-year fixed rate, and $673 for a 30-year jumbo rate.

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