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AUGUST 21, 2024

CRYPTO INVESTMENT INCREASE

Despite the 12% decline in Bitcoin’s price in the second quarter, institutional investors are increasing their investment in Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), as reported by asset manager Bitwise. The company’s chief investment officer, Matt Hougan, expressed optimism about the growing interest from institutions and the potential for significant investment in the crypto market. The number of institutional investors holding Bitcoin ETFs rose by 14% in the second quarter, reaching 1,100, and their share of total assets under management (AUM) for Bitcoin ETFs increased to 21.15%. This indicates a substantial influx of institutional funds into the crypto space, surpassing the misconception that Bitcoin ETFs are mainly owned by retail investors. Bitwise predicts continued growth in Bitcoin ETF inflows, with institutions expected to play a significant role in the market in the coming years. Large financial institutions like Goldman Sachs have also revealed their involvement in Bitcoin ETFs, signaling a growing acceptance and adoption of cryptocurrencies within traditional finance.

TRIUMPHS AND STRUGGLES 

Target has reported a 3% increase in sales for the second quarter, marking a return to growth following a period of sluggish sales. The company exceeded Wall Street’s expectations in both earnings and revenue, attributing the growth to increased customer visits to their stores and website, with a particular uptick in discretionary items like clothing. Moreover, Target has maintained its sales forecast for the year, although they anticipate that sales growth may lean towards the lower end of the range. Nevertheless, despite this cautious outlook, the company has raised its profit guidance and experienced a significant stock market boost. The CEO mentioned that recent profit improvements were fueled by the introduction of new merchandise and reduced prices, as well as enhanced digital sales. On the other hand, Macy’s, a renowned department store operator, recently reported a shift in its sales forecast as it grapples with declining consumer interest and heightened promotional activity. Despite surpassing earnings projections, the company fell short of revenue expectations, prompting a downward revision in its full-year sales outlook. CEO Tony Spring noted a noticeable hesitation among customers, including affluent shoppers, to make discretionary purchases across their various brands, even at premium locations like Bloomingdale’s. To counter these challenges, Macy’s has embarked on a strategic plan to shutter underperforming stores and focus on revitalizing its remaining portfolio. The retailer is also exploring new avenues for growth, such as opening smaller stores in suburban areas and expanding its successful brands like Bloomingdale’s and Bluemercury. Despite these initiatives, Macy’s faces ongoing hurdles in attracting and retaining customers, underscoring the complex and competitive nature of the current retail landscape.

BULLSEYE SUCCESS 

TJX Companies, the parent corporation of popular brands such as Marshalls, HomeGoods, and TJ Maxx, has witnessed a 5.6% boost in sales for the recent quarter and has revised its projected earnings for the fiscal year. Although the company’s earnings per share of 96 cents exceeded analyst estimates, the yearly guidance fell slightly below expectations. Despite this, TJX remains optimistic about its growth opportunities, as evidenced by its investment in the Dubai-based retailer Brands for Less. TJX’s focus on offering discounted merchandise has resonated with consumers, resulting in increased sales and foot traffic in its stores. Furthermore, the company’s ability to navigate shifting economic conditions and attract a diverse customer base has solidified its position as a major player in the retail sector. Ultimately, with a history of success and a strategic approach to global expansion, TJX continues to demonstrate resilience and adaptability.

PAUSE DESPITE DIP

Last week, mortgage rates saw a decrease for the third consecutive week, prompting homeowners to consider refinancing their loans. However, the rush to refinance seemed to slow down as applications dropped by 15% compared to the previous week. Despite this decline, the volume of applications was still significantly higher than the same time last year, likely due to a recent surge in demand as mortgage rates continued to fall over the past four weeks. The average interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages also saw a slight decrease, making it more affordable for borrowers who were looking to refinance. On the other hand, applications for new home purchases decreased by 5% for the week, indicating a potential slowdown in the housing market. Ultimately, despite the lower mortgage rates, buyers are still being selective as they navigate the competitive housing market landscape.

OVER DEMAND CHALLENGES 

The steel industry in China is currently facing significant challenges as a result of a sluggish property sector that is unable to absorb the excess steel capacity in the country. This has led to lower-than-expected demand for metals, particularly steel and iron ore, impacting prices and margins for steel makers. With China being the world’s largest producer and consumer of steel, the surplus in supply has created unsustainable market conditions, prompting steel makers to explore export markets for better prices. The increase in Chinese steel exports has raised concerns globally, leading to the imposition of anti-dumping duties and investigations on Chinese steel imports. This situation has put pressure on domestic steel-makers, who are struggling to compete with the flood of Chinese steel in export destinations. As a result, closures of steel operations have been announced in some countries, highlighting the far-reaching implications of China’s excess steel production on the global steel market.

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