The odds of a 50 bps cut are now 50/50. The past few times there were 50 bps cuts the stock market experienced multiple years of downside. The Japanese yen also looks like it can have years of downside ahead. Not good folks, let’s see if we get 25 or 50 bps next week.
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The inverted yield curve has been slowly rising, and is at risk of spiking up over the next few weeks. The steep corrections and crashes usually occur after the Fed pivot, so it is important to be cautious after tomorrow’s FOMC announcement. Realistically a steep correction can occur soon after the pivot or it could […]
Read MoreThe number of job cuts in the U.S. surged dramatically in August 2024, highlighting a notable shift in the employment landscape, particularly in the tech sector. According to recent data, August witnessed the highest single-month level of layoffs since March, marking a 193% jump from those announced in July. August Marks Highest Layoff Levels Since […]
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There are numerous indicators flashing warning signs for a recession or major economic downturn. Blood Indicator: A Recession Warning This chart features the blood indicator, which is the ratio of US 3-month Treasury Bills to High Yield Spread. Historically, the blood indicator crosses below the 100 week moving average before a major financial crisis and […]
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The inverted yield curve has been slowly rising, and is at risk of spiking up over the next few weeks. The steep corrections and crashes usually occur after the Fed pivot, so it is important to be cautious after tomorrow’s FOMC announcement. Realistically a steep correction can occur soon after the pivot or it could […]
Read MoreThe number of job cuts in the U.S. surged dramatically in August 2024, highlighting a notable shift in the employment landscape, particularly in the tech sector. According to recent data, August witnessed the highest single-month level of layoffs since March, marking a 193% jump from those announced in July. August Marks Highest Layoff Levels Since […]
Read MoreThere are numerous indicators flashing warning signs for a recession or major economic downturn. Blood Indicator: A Recession Warning This chart features the blood indicator, which is the ratio of US 3-month Treasury Bills to High Yield Spread. Historically, the blood indicator crosses below the 100 week moving average before a major financial crisis and […]
Read More