ClearValue Team Insights
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How the S&P 500 Reacts to 0.25% vs. 0.50% Fed Rate Cuts
This chart compares S&P 500 performance 6 months before and 12 months after the first Fed rate cut for several years: 1995, 1998, 2001, 2007, and 2019. The chart distinguishes between rate cuts of 0.25% (red lines) and 0.50% (blue lines), providing insight into how the stock market reacted under different conditions. Here are the key observations and analysis: Key […]Read More
Extreme Volatility During FOMC Announcement
Today there will be an FOMC announcement around 11 AM PST. The markets are divided by whether Powell will cut by 25 or 50 bps. I’ve mentioned that I think there will be a 50 bps cut. We’ll hear the results soon. QQQ Trading Under $475.20 Resistance The market is likely to have a big […]Read More
How S&P 500, Gold, and Bitcoin Perform During Major Geopolitical Events
This table compares the S&P 500 (SPX), Gold, and Bitcoin (BTC) returns during major geopolitical events over two timeframes: 10-day returns and 60-day returns. Key Takeaways: General Insights: Overall, Bitcoin appears to be the most volatile but with the highest long-term potential returns during major geopolitical events, whereas Gold offers more stable, safe-haven performance. SPX shows resilience but can be negatively affected […]Read More
NVAX has been neutral for Q3
NVAX has traded sideways throughout Q3, and is building support around $10.93. I think $11 is a great floor price for NVAX, but we could see some volatility in the markets with steeper declines if we get some bad news. I would wait for the days with extreme fear to buy. Follow me on social […]Read More
SQQQ Holds Above $8.10 Support
The S&P and NASDAQ formed a bullish gap higher today, which sent SQQQ back down to around $8.10 price levels. There is support for SQQQ around $8.09, and a bullish rebound forming in the short term. Tomorrow is the long awaited Fed pivot, and we’ll see how the financial markets react to the Fed’s policy […]Read More
QQQ Trading Above $475.18 Resistance
QQQ also opened with a bullish gap higher today, and is trading above the yellow resistance line around $475.18. While the S&P is trading at new all time highs, the NASDAQ is lagging behind and underperforming. I think QQQ is above resistance here and is at risk of dropping. Follow me on social media: https://linktr.ee/realchartchamp
Read MoreNVDA Faces Resistance at $119.50
NVDA continues to trade within a range between the yellow trendlines. NVDA is currently trading near resistance around $119.50, and is forming a rejection. I think NVDA is at risk of trending down over the next few days. Follow me on social media: https://linktr.ee/realchartchamp
Read MoreSPY Bullish Gap Higher to All Time Highs
This morning the S&P opened with a bullish gap higher, and is trading at resistance near $565. There have been 6 green consecutive days in a row for the S&P, I’m expecting that streak to break soon and for the sellers to push the price back down. The S&P is approaching its worst performing dates […]Read More
RKLB Showing Bullish Momentum
RKLB has been trading within this yellow range since Apr. 2022, and is attempting to form a bullish breakout here. There is resistance around $7.69 that needs to break for RKLB to climb up higher. The momentum is pretty bullish on this move, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see a rejection here. If RKLB […]Read More
Consecutive Bullish Daily Gaps for QQQ
Leading up to Election Day QQQ experienced a shakeout with a drop below two key support levels, marked by a white arrow. However, the US election and Fed’s 25 bps rate are causing a bullish short term rally that has led to two consecutive bullish daily candle gaps higher. QQQ is still trading within a […]Read More
Key Price Levels for NVDA Headed Into Earnings
NVDA is trading at new all time highs as we approach the Nov. 20 earnings date. The key question is how high can NVDA go over the next few weeks. NVDA is historically bearish in Dec so I’m leaning towards a peak forming in November. I have $155.79 as a key price target in mind, […]Read More
MSTR Starting to Show Weakness
A few weeks ago I discussed how MSTR is leading the crypto market rally. MSTR formed a bullish breakout before Bitcoin and has already experienced a strong rally. I think MSTR is starting to cool off a bit around $268. There was a strong uptrend with a yellow support line forming. MSTR is starting to […]Read More