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The Yen Carry Trade: A Global Margin Call
Emergency rate cuts will exacerbate the Yen carry trade. Be careful what you wish for. And BOJ’s announcement that they will not raise rates in this market instability is a sign of panic. It is not bullish at all.
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Approaching the Gates of Hell: Recent VIX Spike Signals Extreme Market Turbulence and Potential Crisis
The VIX chart depicts a significant recent spike in volatility, breaching through multiple resistance lines. This surge can be described as approaching the “Gates of Hell,” indicating heightened fear and uncertainty in the market. The breakout from the descending channel suggests that the market is entering a phase of extreme turbulence. Traders should be prepared […]Read More
Bullish Outlook for S&P 500 Amidst Dow Jones Leadership and Market Rotation
The S&P 500 futures chart is showing a similar pattern. We witnessed a breakout, albeit a weaker one. It’s important to note that the S&P 500 didn’t decline as much as the NASDAQ, resulting in smaller overall moves both down and up. We observed a bullish cross on the stochastic, but it didn’t quite reach […]Read More
Technical Analysis of US 10-Year Government Bond Yield Chart
US 10-Year Government Bond Yield Chart Key Observations: ☑️ Trendline Support – The yield is currently respecting the rising trendline, suggesting that the uptrend remains intact unless a decisive breakdown occurs. ☑️ Oversold Conditions – The Stochastic RSI indicates that the yield is in oversold territory, which typically precedes a price rebound. ☑️ Potential Rebound […]Read More
NASDAQ 100 Surges Beyond Bullish Channel: A Warning Sign of Over-Concentration
Here’s the NASDAQ 100 1-hour chart tracing back to the October 2023 bottom. Notably, this is the first instance since that October low where the NASDAQ has surged beyond the resistance level of its bullish channel. It’s important to note that the second bullish channel, which took shape after the April bottom, has a steeper […]Read More
Comprehensive Analysis of Market Breadth in Relation to the S&P 500 Index (SPX)
The chart provides a comprehensive analysis of market breadth in relation to the S&P 500 Index (SPX) as indicated on the CBOE. The chart is divided into two main sections: Top Section (Market Breadth Indicator): The top part of the chart displays the market breadth indicator, which measures the number of stocks advancing versus those […]Read More
Divergence Alert: S&P 500 Hits New Highs While Dow Components Lag, Echoing Pre-September 2021 Sell-Off Pattern
At the top, we have the Dow Jones Industrials, in the middle is the Dow Transports Index, and at the bottom is the S&P 500. This rally in May and June is the first I’ve observed since September 2021 where the S&P 500 is hitting new highs, but both Dow Jones components aren’t keeping pace. […]Read More
Sector Rotation Signals Reinvigorated Bull Market: Tech Leads, Defensives Lag
Take a look at the sector performance for the S&P 500. This is textbook bullish behavior we’re seeing. Tech and communications services are spearheading the charge, just as they should be leading the pack in a healthy uptrend. On the flip side, the defensive utilities, energy, and staples sectors are getting left in the dust […]Read More
Russell 2000: The Silent Barometer of the U.S. Economy Amid SPX and NDQ Hype
While everyone is talking about SPX and NDQ, IWM probably holds the key to the true picture of the economy. Unlike the SPX, dominated by large, global companies, and the NDQ, which leans heavily on tech giants, IWM represents small-cap stocks that are more sensitive to domestic economic conditions. These smaller companies often rely on […]Read More
Quick Question
I am loving the site and the youtube channel. Do you still recommend the investment picks in the premium section? Ive noticed a few of them still doing well, thank you!
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Geopolitical Tensions Between Israel and Iran: The Ripple Effect on Global Oil Prices and Japan’s Yen Carry Trade
The ongoing geopolitical tension between Israel and Iran has the potential to significantly impact global oil prices due to the strategic importance of the Middle East in the global oil supply. Iran, as one of the world’s largest oil producers and a critical player in OPEC, holds substantial influence over global oil markets. Any conflict […]Read More