ClearValue Team Insights
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Inverted Yield Curve at Risk of Rising
The inverted yield curve has been slowly rising, and is at risk of spiking up over the next few weeks. The steep corrections and crashes usually occur after the Fed pivot, so it is important to be cautious after tomorrow’s FOMC announcement. Realistically a steep correction can occur soon after the pivot or it could […]Read More
Analyzing 50 Basis Point Rate Cuts in 2001 and 2008
1. Federal Reserve – 2001: 50BP Cut (Jan 3) → Recession (Mar–Nov 2001) Background: The Event: Consequences: 2. Federal Reserve – 2007: 50BP Cut (Sep 18) → Recession (Dec 2007–Jun 2009) Background: The Event: Consequences: The Fed’s Continued Actions: Long-term impacts: Broader Reflection on U.S. Monetary Policy: Follow me on social media: https://linktr.ee/realchartchamp
Read MoreThe Fed’s September 2024 Rate Cut: Key Takeaways
On September 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve made its first 50 basis point (bps) rate cut since 2020, signaling a shift in monetary policy. While the economy is described as “strong overall,” the Fed has justified the cut as a proactive measure to sustain growth and control inflation. Key Points from the Fed’s Decision Powell’s Statement on the […]Read More
USD/JPY Trading Near Support Headed Into Sept. 20 BOJ Decision
Today the U.S. Federal Reserve will receive a lot of attention for their role in the global financial markets. There will be a ton of important information released today, but we also have another extremely important announcement from the Bank of Japan on Sept. 20. The Japanese yen is the only asset that is appreciating […]Read More
Inverted Yield Curve Sending a Recession Warning
We’ve talked about the inverted yield curve for over a year now. The yield curve has been inverted for 700+ days, and is signaling a 50% crash ahead. The media is painting the narrative that we are trending for a soft landing, but I call BS on that and I’m shorting the stock market. As […]Read More
10 Year Yields Continue to Decline
10 year US bond yields have declined for 5 consecutive months, and there is still a lot more room for downside over the next few quarters. As bond yields decline, US bonds will rise. This makes US Treasuries & US Bonds a safe and attractive buying opportunity with less risk compared to stocks and crypto. […]Read More
External Forces At Play: The Fragile Future Of The Euro
While the euro has managed to climb recently, largely due to external factors like China’s economic stimulus and weaker U.S. data, this upward momentum might not last long. The underlying economic issues in the Eurozone are still present, and without a sharp improvement in the region’s economic data, the euro could struggle to maintain its […]Read More
TMF At Risk of Further Decline
TMF has held strong throughout August and September, but is starting to show some weakness in October. I have $54.72 and $47.50 as two key support levels to monitor. TMF is also trading near local support around $56, I would monitor to see if the $56 and $54.72 support levels hold for now. Follow me […]Read More
DXY Has Rallied Since Sept 30
The U.S. Dollar Index has experienced a strong rally since bottoming out around $100. A strong DXY is usually bearish for financial markets so the stock market should not be showing so much strength while the DXY is rallying. DXY’s rally could also be one of the factors for crypto’s selloff. I think DXY is […]Read More
RKLB Showing Bullish Momentum
RKLB has been trading within this yellow range since Apr. 2022, and is attempting to form a bullish breakout here. There is resistance around $7.69 that needs to break for RKLB to climb up higher. The momentum is pretty bullish on this move, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see a rejection here. If RKLB […]Read More
ASTS Trading Near Resistance
ASTS had an incredible rally from $1.85 to $36, but the price is starting to face resistance between $29.75 and $36.20. Right now ASTS is trading near the lower end of this resistance zone around $29.75, and I would monitor for a rejection here. The price could start to break down lower over time. Follow […]Read More
NASDAQ Likely to Retest $17,500
The NASDAQ has formed a strong overshoot above a key resistance level, and I think there is a strong narrative for a melt up in the stock market. However, I think both the bullish and bearish narrative would have some downside over the next few weeks. I can see NDX dropping to around $17,500 to […]Read More