ClearValue Team Insights
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Yield Curve Uninverts & Triggers Recession Concerns
The yield curve has officially uninverted by crossing above 0%. This uninversion usually occurs right before a recession, and we also see other recession signals such as the Sahm’s rule that was activated a few weeks ago. Right now the market is not showing any signs of a recession, but if the Sept. 6 jobs […]Read More
10 Year Bond Yields Likely to Drop to 3.60%
10 year bond yields have dropped below a key support level at the yellow trendline. Bond yields have been neutral and trading sideways, but I think there could be a drop down to 3.60%. The bearish sentiment in bond yields is bullish for financial markets. Bond prices and stocks are likely to see some upside […]Read More
Lengthy Yield Curve Remains Inverted Despite Sahm’s Rule
Two weeks ago we received a lot of panic selling in the financial markets that was caused by the Sahm’s rule recession indicator flashing a signal for a recession. The Sahm’s rule recession indicator suggests that we are already in a recession. The inverted yield curve is another important indicator to monitor, and so far […]Read More